Not a ton to say on this, Manchester United wanted a draw when the game started and really wanted a draw after the red card. It's kind of crazy with them fighting for a Champions League spot that they would be so conservative.
Running xG:
Stats:
Manchester City |
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Danger Zone | Wide Box | Outside Box | xG | SoT xG | Big Chance |
7 | 1 | 11 | 1.43 | 0.90 | 1 |
Manchester United |
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Danger Zone | Wide Box | Outside Box | xG | SoT xG | Big Chance |
2 | 0 | 1 | 0.55 | 0.26 | 1 |
Sergio Aguero was very wasteful with his chances in this game, I have him at 1.0 of City's 1.43 xG all by him self on 9 shots, but he put just 2 on target and his shot on target xG (a different model which I should probably detail at a latter time) was just 0.36.
I wish I was further along on my projection model so I could give some sort of estimate to how this result changes top 4 chances but I am a just learning to do more than basic coding and working on that model is probably a project that will be done over the summer.
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