Premier League Week 2 Projections

Week two of the Premier League is here and I have a fresh batch of projections.

This week there are many more close match ups and just a pair of odds where teams would be expected to win over 50% of the time compared to four last week (not including two matches at over 49%). 

The marquee match of Tottenham vs Chelsea shows Spurs as the clear favorites and that doesn't even take into account the players that will be out for Chelsea. It will be interesting if Antonio Conte can pull some magic out of the hat in that match. The midfield that he picks sure will be interesting. 

For Arsenal they are away at Stoke and have pretty favorable odds. My gut would not put things that high up but this week Arsenal should hopefully have more senior players available to play at center back and hopefully Alexis back to at a minimum the bench. I also hope the Oliver Giroud continues as a sub, he is so good at that and really changes the game against tired defenses but really messes with the offensive flow as a starter.

Lastly here is the latest full season projections:

Click to enlarge

Manchester City saw their title odds improve 5% after the results of last weekend to be the biggest gainer, while Chelsea lost nearly 4% with their shocking defeat against Burnley. Arsenal have slipped their way into the second highest average points spot but there is such a narrow grouping among the top teams that will probably switch quite a bit as the early season plays out.

In the relegation fight, Burnley were huge movers going from 45% relegation to 30% relegation with a win against the defending Champions with Huddersfield getting a 9% bump with their opening win. Crystal Palace were the big dropper of the week and could be in serious trouble with starting the first two matches with 0 points and real danger lurking with a trip to Anfield.

Also the rest of the big leagues will be kicking off this weekend. For those that follow my stats I want to give an update on my updating schedule. I usually update the Premier League first on Monday morning Pacific Time and then get the rest of Europe as team permits and that some times stretches into the week. I try to get all the stats updated by the time that games kickoff for Fridays but I will try to have it done earlier than that.
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This article was written with the aid of StrataData, which is the property of Stratagem Technologies. StrataData powers the StrataBet Sports Trading Platform, in addition to StrataBet Premium Recommendations.