Celta Vigo vs Manchester United First Leg Simulation

I haven't watched any Celta Vigo this year but from what I have heard on the podcasts and read is that they have thrown in the towel on the league season and accepted a safe mid-table position and thrown everything into the Europa League.

This simulation is based only on league stats so it might underrate Celta Vigo's chances if they have been resting players in the league and not given it their best shot. 

Manchester United are pretty heavy favorites for this one and at the very least should expect to come away with an away goal (86% chance of at least one goal and 53% chance of more than 1) if not the win. 

The Projection: