Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Premier League Top 6 Stats vs the Top 6

One of the things that has become apparent this season is that the top 6 (really top 5 but I will be nice and include Arsenal in this discussion) teams are significantly better than the rest of the league this year and the results against each other have been what is driving the places in the table.

Given that, I thought that it would be interesting to pull the stats from the database I have been working on all season and compare how the teams have fared against each other:


Offense vs other Top 6 Teams

xG
SoT xG
Big Chances
Danger Zone
Shots
Team
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Chelsea
1.10
3
1.16
3
1.45
3
3.73
7
9.00
7
Tottenham Hotspur
1.02
4
0.90
10
1.22
5
3.11
13
10.78
4
Liverpool
1.26
2
1.48
1
1.60
2
5.40
2
12.10
2
Manchester City
1.52
1
1.24
2
2.18
1
5.45
1
13.36
1
Manchester United
0.86
7
0.82
9
0.86
11
4.14
4
11.57
3
Arsenal
0.83
8
1.12
12
1.00
6
3.78
6
9.33
6











Defense vs other Top 6 Teams

xG
SoT xG
Big Chances
Danger Zone
Shots
Team
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Per Game
Rank
Chelsea
0.79
3
0.75
2
0.88
3
3.03
1
8.61
3
Tottenham Hotspur
0.86
4
0.90
4
0.94
5
3.56
5
8.88
4
Liverpool
0.95
5
1.07
8
1.31
9
3.37
4
8.00
1
Manchester City
0.75
2
0.82
3
0.79
2
3.03
1
8.09
2
Manchester United
0.73
1
0.71
1
0.65
1
3.18
3
9.06
5
Arsenal
1.11
8
1.17
9
1.33
10
4.64
8
10.91
6


I was a little surprised but based on the stats Manchester City have the best record thus far against the other big teams. Chelsea have been second best followed very closely by Liverpool.

Manchester United are the fourth best team, with a very good defense against the the big teams (I would rank them second behind City) but that has come at the expense of producing offense or watchable matches.

A bit surprisingly Tottenham are the fifth best team, their defense is good and not far off the other teams but on offense I still think that they are way over performing their stats. Maybe they really are an awesome long range shooting team and that they can turn high volume of low quality chances into goals and wins on a regular basis I just think that betting on it to continue next season would be a risky proposition.

Lastly is poor old Arsenal. They don't have a stat where they rank better than sixth at against the top teams. They are the worst team on offense and the worst team in defense. There really isn't anything else that can be said about this.

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