After Arsenal's win over Southampton yesterday there are still four teams fighting for the last two Champions League spots.
Manchester City and Liverpool are still the clear favorites but Arsenal have edged past Manchester United as the closet follower.
To have a realistic shot Arsenal need to get to a minimum of 73 points and from there it could get pretty interesting with the goal differential between the teams. If Arsenal do win out and get to 75 points they will beat Liverpool's points totals about 70% of the time. If the get to 73 points they will finish ahead of Liverpool 19% of the time.
The road ahead for Arsenal:
41.7% chance of a win at Stoke.
55.9% chance of a win vs Sunderland.
44% chance of beating Everton at home on the last day.
All told there is about a 10.3% chance of running the table which is crazy considering where Arsenal were a few weeks ago.
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